Oklahoma State Warns Last Time From Team

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

Dustin Ware scored 12 points to lead Georgia (10-10, 1-5) and Nemanja Djurisic had 10. The Bulldogs have lost five of their last six games overall and four of their last five against Kentucky at home.

 

Winston-Salem, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 23rd-ranked Florida State Seminoles are back at it tonight as they head to Lawrence Joel Coliseum for an Atlantic Coast Conference battle with the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. This will be the 43rd meeting in the all-time series. The Demon Deacons hold a 23-19 edge in the advantage coming into tonight despite Florida State winning the last three encounters.

 

Snaer is the Seminoles' go-to-guy as he leads the team with an average of 13.5 ppg. The junior guard seems to have elevated his play against top competition as he has averaged 16.6 ppg in his last three outings. Ian Miller is the team's second leading scorer with an average of 12.3 ppg. Miller has gone 7- of-12 from the floor to score 25 points total in his last two games. Bernard James provides a tough inside presence for Hamilton's squad. James contributes 10.5 ppg and 8.8 rpg.

 

The Demon Deacons are led by the ACC's top scoring duo C.J. Harris and Travis McKie. Harris is ranked third in the conference in scoring with 17.3 ppg and McKie is a very close fourth with an average of 17.2 ppg. McKie is also leading the team in rebounding with an average of 6.7 rpg after his 20-point, 10-rebound performance against Boston College. Harris chipped in 15 points and five assists in the win over the Eagles. Tony Chennault is a very good third option. The sophomore point guard is netting 10.6 ppg and had six assists with just one turnover his last time out.

 

Sophomore forward Doug McDermott ranks third nationally in scoring (23.2 ppg) and leads the MVC in scoring, rebounding, three-point percentage, and double- doubles. Antoine Young is second on the team in scoring (11.9 ppg). Young is due for a scoring outburst after being held under 10 points in each of his last two outings. Gregory Echenique is a physical center that averages 9.2 points, 7.1 boards, and 1.7 blocks per game. Grant Gibbs is the second best passer in the MVC with an average of 5.7 apg.

 

Rayvonte Rice and Ben Simons will need to put forth huge efforts to pull off the upset tonight. Rice is the team's leading scorer with an average of 16.9 ppg on 44.3 percent shooting from the field. The sophomore guard was held to just nine points his last time out by Northern Iowa. Simons is second on the team in scoring (15.5 ppg), but also had a difficult time against the Panthers as he was held to just seven points. Simons had scored in double-figures in nine-straight games before the forgettable performance. Kurt Alexander was big off the bench while Rice and Simons struggled, as he went 8-of-10 from the floor to score a team-high 21 points. Kraidon Woods could make an impact in this one as well, as he recently recorded a double-double with 11 points and 12 rebounds against Illinois Sate. Woods has blocked 11 shots in his last four games off the bench.

 

Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The fourth-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes continue their run through the Big Ten as they welcome the Penn State Nittany Lions to Columbus for a conference showdown at Value City Arena. Thad Matta's Buckeyes are an impressive 51-1 at home over the last three seasons, including a 14-0 mark in 2011-12. However, OSU was on the road this past weekend, blowing out Nebraska in Lincoln, 79-45. With the win, the Buckeyes moved to 5-2 in-conference.

 

Penn State led 29-27 at the half in Bloomington, but Indiana came roaring back in the second half, hitting 65 percent from the floor in posting a 19-point win over the Nittany Lions. Tim Frazier once again led the way offensively, netting 21 points, on 7-of-18 shooting. Nick Colella added 11 points off the bench, but PSU managed a mere 22.7 percent shooting accuracy in the second half, hitting just five field goals over the final 20 minutes of action. It has been a lot of the same all season long for Penn State, which has a prolific scorer in Frazier, but little else behind him. Frazier is performing at an All-American level this season, averaging 18.0 points and 6.4 assists per game. Unfortunately, there isn't much offensive support, as Jermaine Marshall represents the next highest scorer at just 9.8 ppg.

 

The Buckeyes have the talent to win games at either end of the floor, evidenced by their gaudy +22.0 scoring margin. The team is shooting an impressive .494 from the floor and putting up 77.9 ppg, while holding foes just under 40 percent shooting (.398) and a mere 56.0 ppg. It certainly helps to have a dominant trio, led by perhaps the nation's best low post player in sophomore Jared Sullinger. The 6-9 Sullinger is converting nearly 60 percent from the floor and paces OSU in both scoring (17.1 ppg) and rebounding (9.1 rpg). William Buford and Deshaun Thomas provide plenty of firepower behind Sullinger at 15.2 and 15.0 ppg, respectively. The remainder of the starting five consists of savvy point guard Aaron Craft (8.0 ppg, 5.1 apg, team-high 50 steals) and Lenzelle Smith Jr. (6.2 ppg, .486 from three-point range). The Buckeyes once again made light work of the Cornhuskers, sweeping the season series by a combined 65 points. In the 34-point romp over the weekend, Buford led the way with 15 points. Sullinger and Thomas poured in 14 a piece in the victory, as OSU dominated at both ends, including forcing a whopping 27 turnovers.

Weasywinning NCAA Basketball Betting Blog


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Big Ten Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa

Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.

Should be in:

Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?

Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.

Work left to do:

Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.

Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.

Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.

Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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